Thoughts After a
Crushing Loss
It is an old football truism that you’re never as good as you think you
are after a win, and never as bad as you fear you are after a loss. It’s
certainly true that we aren’t as good as the 52-20 South Carolina win made us
seem. The next month will tell us if yesterday’s 38-10 throttling at the hands
of Nick Saban’s elephants was an accurate reflection of our quality.
As usual, the Fire Mark Richt drums will start thudding today. Perhaps
even more annoyingly, the Keep Mark Richt counter-narrartive will ramp up at
the same time. I myself have called for the dismissal of our Head Man in Charge
(particularly after last year’s colossal parade of fuckups against Tech), and
also insisted that he be kept at all costs (particularly during last winter’s
swirling rumors about the total collapse of Georgia’s coaching staff). So
here’s a look at the facts which Georgia currently faces, and some thoughts.
Expect neither a definitive conclusion nor any real football analysis, which is
as it should be.
During Richt’s tenure, Georgia has won the SEC twice. The first time
was during his second year as HC, 2002, when a faceplant during the regular
season against Florida kept UGA from playing for a national championship.
Georgia lost in the SEC title game the next year, and after a hiatus in 2004
returned to surprise everyone by destroying LSU 34-14. In the decade since,
Georgia has been to the SEC Championship Game twice. In 2011, #12 ranked
Georgia got rolled by LSU 42-10 after an impressively close first half showing.
In 2012, with a trip to the national title on the line, Georgia lost to Alabama
in maybe the most heartbreaking game I’ve ever seen, 32-28. The details of that
game are too painful to recount.
Rightly or wrongly, Mark Richt and Georgia have earned a reputation for
being unable to win in big games over the last decade. Apart from the two SEC
Championship losses, Georgia has blown the following big-stage contests:
--A 2006 drubbing in Sanford by Tennessee
--A 2007 drubbing in Neyland by Tennessee. This, coupled with a loss to
Spurrier’s South Carolina team, cost Georgia a shot at a national title in
spite of the fact that they ended 2007 as clearly the best team in the country.
The ’07 Bulldogs were the last Georgia team to beat Alabama.
--Off the strength of the end of 2007, Georgia began 2008 ranked #1 in
the country. The team would suffer a humiliating loss in Sanford at the hands
of Alabama and end up 8-4 with a loss to Tech.
--A 2009 season-opening loss to Oklahoma State.
--A 2010 season that included a brutal loss to Colorado (COLORADO!!!)
and a 6-7 finish with a loss to Central Florida in the bowl game.
--The 2011 Chick-Fil-A Kickoff Game against Boise State. Georgia lost
35-21, although the game was nowhere near as close as that score looks. No SEC
team should lose to Boise State. Ever.
--The 2012 Capital One Bowl, where Georgia blew a big lead and lost
33-30 in triple-overtime.
--The 2013 season opener against Clemson, which squandered a terrific
offensive performance when the defense gave up 38 points.
--The 2014 Capital One Bowl, where a sluggish, slow-looking Georgia
team lost to Nebraska after a thoroughly mediocre performance.
--Brutal losses last season to a terrible South Carolina and Florida
team. The South Carolina game featured some of the most baffling playcalling in
memory, and Georgia allowed themselves to be dominated by a horrid Florida team
in a 38-20 blowout. The season was capped with a loss to Tech that was a
showcase in how NOT to coach a football game.
--Yesterday’s Alabama debacle.
To be fair, in that same span, Georgia has had the following
highlights:
--A thrilling 42-30 win over Urban Meyer’s defending national champion
Florida squad in 2007.
--Single-handedly ruining Colt Brannen’s draft stock in the 2008 Sugar
Bowl against Hawaii.
--A three-year winning streak over Florida from 2011-2013.
--The most electric football game I’ve ever seen, Georgia’s 44-41
defeat of LSU in 2013.
--Last year’s 45-21 dismantling of Clemson, and 34-7 victory over
Auburn.
The Dawgs had such a dominant win over Clemson last year, in fact, that
expectations shot sky high and Georgia became a pick to win the SEC and make
the inaugural college playoff. This was followed almost immediately by choking
at South Carolina. In fact, since Georgia’s last SEC Championship appearance,
the team has had the following disappointments:
2013: 8-4, with losses to Clemson, Missouri (??), Vanderbilt
(?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!??! This was, of course, mostly the fault of
insane officiating), and Auburn.
2014: 9-3, with the aforementioned losses to terrible SC and UF teams,
and a humiliating season-ending loss to Georgia Tech.
There’s still a lot of 2015 left, of course. Yesterday’s loss to
Alabama doesn’t torpedo UGA’s chances to make the SEC Championship, nor does it
mean that Georgia’s chances of making the playoff are over. Now, though, our
backs are against the wall. Georgia has to win out, including tough games next
week against Tennessee and at the end of the month against Florida. But
national perception of Georgia won’t change. Mark Richt remains a coach who
can’t win a big game. Georgia fans complain a lot about the lack of respect that
the team gets from the national media, but you have to EARN respect. Over the
last decade, this team has consistently failed to do so. If Georgia fails to
win the east for a third consecutive year in spite of a host of talent,
difficult questions must be asked.
Of course, you could say it’s possible that Georgia is a team with a
10-2 ceiling whose fans believe it should be a national champion. To counter
that, though, look at the talent this team has had since 2005: Geno Atkins,
Clint Boling, Brandon Boykin, Marlon Brown, Sanders Commings, Chris Conley,
Akeem Dent, Justin Houston, AJ Green, Matt Stafford, Knowshon Moreno, John
Jenkins, Alec Ogletree, Bacarri Rambo, Damarcus Dobbs, Dannell Ellerbe, Jarvis
Jones, Todd Gurley, and Aaron Murray, who set a host of SEC records in his time
at Georgia. Also look at the talent on this team: Nick Chubb, who is a
legitimate Heisman contender, Sony Michel, Malcolm Mitchell, Leonard Floyd,
Jordan Jenkins, and Lorenzo Carter all have potential as NFL players. Why has a
team that sends so many players to the league and had so many dynamic athletes
failed to win, or at least compete for, a championship? Georgia is considered
an also-ran right now. Too many more years of this and that culture will
permeate every aspect of the football program.
Of course, the idea that any season that doesn’t end in a championship
is a failure is a toxic notion to the way sports are best enjoyed. Most of the
time, your team isn’t going to win. Moreover, it’s hard as hell to win the SEC.
We might also consider Oregon, who have fielded some stellar teams but failed
to win a title over the past decade as well. BUT they’ve won the PAC-12.
Georgia is a team that certainly COULD, but I am beginning to doubt if it ever
WILL win the SEC again. Mark Richt is a good man, and I believe that he is
exactly the kind of coach that a lot of players want to play for. I believe
parents trust him to take good care of their sons when they send them off to
Georgia. And I know he does a good job of taking care of his players after they
leave the University. These things make him a good recruiter. But over the past
decade, his effectiveness at realizing the full potential of Georgia’s talent
has waned. Has Richt’s window closed? If the answer to that question is yes,
then the recruiting prospects are going to dry up. If we can’t win with elite
level talent, what’s it going to look like when we’re only fielding three-star
recruits?
On the other hand, there are lots of good reasons to stay with Richt.
They are as follows:
--Continuity at coach is key to building a stable program. The last two
recruiting classes have been the best in the school’s history. Losing Richt
would cause those recruits to bolt.
--Who else is out there? Florida, a program that has won two national
titles in the last decade and is a perennial contender, had to settle for Jim
McElwain at HC after canning Muschamp last fall. Is there some coordinator or
HC at another program that we could lure away who would be better? Would we
promote Pruitt or Schottenheimer? I don’t see a good prospect for his
replacement anywhere.
--A coach isn’t a magic bullet. Replacing a coach won’t fix all the
problems. Worse, you run the risk of doing to yourself what Tennessee did.
After forcing long-tenured coach Philip Fullmer out after a couple of mediocre
seasons to appease a disgruntled fanbase, Tennessee hired Lane Kiffin and
basically set themselves back a decade. Kiffin bolted after a year, and neither
of his successors—Dooley and Jones—have been able to steady the ship.
Tennessee, once a powerhouse, melted their program down by getting rid Fullmer.
Now they’re a laughingstock. That possibility exists for Georgia as well.
So I have no idea what to do. What I DO know is that yesterday RIcht
was outcoached from whistle to gun. Twice in the first half Georgia called an
inexplicable timeout when the offense was already set. Twice the team failed to
be aggressive and go for it on 4th and 1, once from Alabama’s
40-yard-line. Lambert got sat down for Ramsey, who performed even worse.
Sitting Lambert down likely did nothing for his confidence, and this showed
when he returned to throw another interception. After the game, Richt talked
about changing the system. Some of this was bad luck—all the breaks went
Alabama’s way yesterday, and Georgia failed to capitalize on the few
opportunities they had. I know we’re not in freefall, but nobody had any
answers for what’s going wrong right now. Things need to get better, and FAST,
or this year is going to be another wash for a team that should be competitive.
Every single year, Georgia will lose at least one game it should win.
We often come out flat after bye weeks, or play our worst game against our best
opponent. All of those are problems that better coaching could address and
potentially fix. Yesterday, I heard a fellow fan excuse our dismal, shitty
performance by saying “This isn’t an elimination game for us. It is for them.”
First of all, there’s never an excuse for playing as poorly as we did
yesterday. This Georgia team is as talented as Alabama, if not moreso. But this
comment stuck with me, because I think it’s indicative of the problem. Until we
get someone who realizes that they’re ALL elimination games, we may have a lot
more days like yesterday in store.